Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

West Goshen Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 18039000502 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 5,017 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 18039000502 in the West Goshen area of Goshen, IN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 21% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,797

Renter share32.6%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate13.1%

Median income$61,507

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.5827, -85.8548 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Goshen scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Goshen

4.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.6

State political climate

Indiana legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

13.1% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,046 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Goshen

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Goshen

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Goshen

7.4

How West Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.4%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
9.6%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
18.6%Frequent mental distress
34.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Goshen

Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 40.7% across Elkhart County.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

It tracks the Elkhart County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,046, close to the Goshen average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $61,507. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039000502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000502?

Census tract 18039000502 in the West Goshen neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 18039000502?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000502?

13.1% of residents in tract 18039000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,017.

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 54th, minority 51th, housing 43th.

Is tract 18039000502 considered part of West Goshen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18039000502 fall within West Goshen (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 18039000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 18039000502 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 18039000502 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.