Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 18039000400 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 4,919 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Goshen
For landlords sizing up Goshen in Elkhart County, census tract 18039000400 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #45,215 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,044 a month against an average household income of $79,396 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,560
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$79,396
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5479, -85.8572 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goshen scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How Goshen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goshen
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goshen eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Elkhart County average of 4.7 and above the Indiana statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039000400?
Census tract 18039000400 in Goshen scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039000400?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039000400?
10.7% of residents in tract 18039000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,919.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 54th, minority 29th, housing 72th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 18039000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 18039000400 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039000400 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Goshen at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
East Goshen
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Terrace Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
Shanklin Millrace
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IN
West Goshen
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
Twin Pines
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039000301
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IN
18039001302
3
/ 10 · Low
Related