Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 18039001302 ·
Elkhart County, IN · pop 3,650 · 14% of tract blocks fall in Goshen
With a score of 3.1/10, tract 18039001302 in Goshen, IN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,650. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Elkhart County average of 40.7%.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 5%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$84,357
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#9 of 9 tracts In Goshen
Very Low
Within county
39th percentile
#28 of 45 tracts In Elkhart County
Low
Within state
37th percentile
#1,075 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Low
National
22th percentile
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goshen and the region
Centroid at 41.5752, -85.9336 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goshen scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4
How Goshen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.8%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goshen
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Elkhart County average of 3.9.
Average gross rent is $961, 12% below the Goshen average. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $84,357, annual rent is just 14%.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 18039001302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039001302?
Census tract 18039001302 in Goshen scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 18039001302?
Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 18039001302?
6.7% of residents in tract 18039001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 18039001302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 17th, minority 29th, housing 45th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 18039001302 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 18039001302 compare to Goshen overall?
Tract 18039001302 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Goshen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goshen
Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.