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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Goshen Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 18039001302 · Elkhart County, IN · pop 3,650 · 14% of tract blocks fall in Goshen

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 18039001302 in Goshen, IN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,650. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Elkhart County average of 40.7%.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$84,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In Goshen
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 45 tracts In Elkhart County
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,075 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goshen and the region

Centroid at 41.5752, -85.9336 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goshen scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goshen
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goshen
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goshen
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goshen
7.4

How Goshen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goshen risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0013024.0Goshenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goshen

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Elkhart County average of 3.9.

Average gross rent is $961, 12% below the Goshen average. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $84,357, annual rent is just 14%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 18039001302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18039001302?

Census tract 18039001302 in Goshen scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18039001302?

Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18039001302?

6.7% of residents in tract 18039001302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,650.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18039001302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 17th, minority 29th, housing 45th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 18039001302 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 18039001302 compare to Goshen overall?

Tract 18039001302 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Goshen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goshen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goshen

Top eight tracts in Goshen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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