Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Beaver Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153000702 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,770 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 19153000702 sits in the Lower Beaver area of Des Moines eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 3,770 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$74,803
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.6401, -93.6563 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Beaver scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$757 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Lower Beaver compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 416Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.2%Peak (2009)
- 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Beaver. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Beaver
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $757, 31% below the Des Moines average.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 416 filings here across 10 tracked years.
Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2009 at 25.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10.
Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $74,803, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153000702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000702?
Census tract 19153000702 in the Lower Beaver neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153000702?
Median gross rent is $757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000702?
4.2% of residents in tract 19153000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,770.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 85th, minority 57th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 19153000702 considered part of Lower Beaver?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000702 fall within Lower Beaver (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 416 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.40% of renter households, peaking at 25.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153000702 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153000702 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153000702 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153000702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
South Central DSM
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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