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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155031000 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 2,107

19155031000 is a census tract in Council Bluffs, IA. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,107. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,016
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$67,851

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#188 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2528, -95.8453 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0310004.0Council Bluffsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 137Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2013)
  • 33Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19155031000
Filings climbed 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

At $823 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Council Bluffs commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 137 evictions over 4 years of observation. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pottawattamie County average of 38.2%. The worst year on record was 2013, when 9.1% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.

Against average income of $67,851, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155031000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155031000?

Census tract 19155031000 in Council Bluffs scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155031000?

Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155031000?

14.1% of residents in tract 19155031000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,107.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155031000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 80th, minority 19th, housing 56th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155031000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155031000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.00% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155031000 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155031000 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155031000 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19155031000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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