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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21049020500 · Clark County, KY · pop 2,752 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Winchester

21049020500 is a census tract in Winchester, KY. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,752. 8% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Clark County average of 36.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 9% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share10.0%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$108,343

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Winchester
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In Clark County
Very Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 37.9463, -84.2503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$645 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6

How Winchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0205004.0Winchesterparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

At $645 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Winchester commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the Clark County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Against average income of $108,343, annual rent is just 7%.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21049020500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020500?

Census tract 21049020500 in Winchester scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21049020500?

Median gross rent is $645/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020500?

4.6% of residents in tract 21049020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,752.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 20th, minority 5th, housing 5th.
Q5

How does tract 21049020500 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 21049020500 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Winchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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