Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Lyndale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchester
Tract 21049020103 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,810 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Moderate-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 21049020103 reflects conditions in Lyndale in Winchester, Kentucky. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,170 a month while the average household earns $86,042 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,279
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$86,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 37.9654, -84.2172 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lyndale scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Lyndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lyndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lyndale
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clark County average of 4.9 and in line with the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020103?
Census tract 21049020103 in the Lyndale neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020103?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020103?
14.2% of residents in tract 21049020103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 43th, minority 13th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 21049020103 considered part of Lyndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21049020103 fall within Lyndale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21049020103 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020103 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related