Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 21049020201 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,337 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21049020201 (Winchester, Kentucky) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #20,971 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $809 a month against an average household income of $40,398 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,725
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$40,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 38.0238, -84.1863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clark County average of 4.9 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020201?
Census tract 21049020201 in Winchester scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020201?
Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020201?
33.7% of residents in tract 21049020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,337.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 71th, minority 47th, housing 37th.
Q5
How does tract 21049020201 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020201 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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