Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21049020106 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,391 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
Here is how census tract 21049020106, in Winchester eviction risk in Clark County, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,391. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $905 a month while the average household earns $48,875 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,360
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$48,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 37.9662, -84.1529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clark County average of 4.9 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020106?
Census tract 21049020106 in Winchester scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020106?
Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020106?
16.2% of residents in tract 21049020106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,391.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 56th, minority 37th, housing 35th.
Q5
How does tract 21049020106 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020106 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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