Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Lyndale Eviction Risk: Lower , Winchester
Tract 21049020105 · Clark County, KY · pop 3,335 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21049020105 (the Lyndale neighborhood of Winchester, Kentucky) comes in at 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $877 a month against an average household income of $97,895 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$97,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 37.9540, -84.2015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lyndale scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Lyndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lyndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lyndale
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clark County average of 4.9 and in line with the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020105?
Census tract 21049020105 in the Lyndale neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020105?
Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020105?
8.6% of residents in tract 21049020105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 34th, minority 12th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 21049020105 considered part of Lyndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21049020105 fall within Lyndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21049020105 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020105 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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