Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lyndale Eviction Risk: Lower , Winchester
Tract 21049020105 ·
Clark County, KY · pop 3,335 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
21049020105 is a census tract in the Lyndale area of Winchester, KY. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,335 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 25%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,498
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$97,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Lyndale
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#8 of 8 tracts In Winchester
Very Low
Within county
33th percentile
#7 of 10 tracts In Clark County
Low
Within state
27th percentile
#959 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 37.9540, -84.2015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lyndale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Lyndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Clark County average of 36.2%.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.9 points below the Clark County average of 3.9.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $97,895, annual rent is just 11%.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $877, close to the Winchester average.
35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020105?
Census tract 21049020105 in the Lyndale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020105?
Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020105?
8.6% of residents in tract 21049020105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 34th, minority 12th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 21049020105 considered part of Lyndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21049020105 fall within Lyndale (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21049020105 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020105 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Winchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.