Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21049020202 · Clark County, KY · pop 4,271 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
Here is how census tract 21049020202, in Winchester eviction risk in Clark County, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,271. On the national scale it ranks #32,686 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $878 a month against an average household income of $58,834 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,767
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$58,834
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 38.0090, -84.1574 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clark County average of 4.9 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 21049020202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020202?
Census tract 21049020202 in Winchester scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21049020202?
Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020202?
14.7% of residents in tract 21049020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,271.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 57th, minority 9th, housing 82th.
Q5
How does tract 21049020202 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 21049020202 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchester
Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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