Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21049020202 · Clark County, KY · pop 4,271 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Winchester

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 21049020202 in Winchester, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Clark County at 36.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 15% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units1,767

Renter share35.5%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate14.7%

Median income$58,834

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 38.0090, -84.1574 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchester

4.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.4

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

14.7% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$878 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchester

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchester

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchester

6.6

How Winchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
9%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

Against the Clark County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $58,834, annual rent is just 18%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $878, close to the Winchester average.

35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21049020202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21049020202?

Census tract 21049020202 in Winchester scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21049020202?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21049020202?

14.7% of residents in tract 21049020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,271.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21049020202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 57th, minority 9th, housing 82th.

How does tract 21049020202 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 21049020202 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.