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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012104 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,664

Tract 21111012104 covers Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Kentucky. Home to 4,664 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 65% of US census tracts.

About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,351 monthly, set against $58,856 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 9% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$58,856

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#26 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#86 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#740 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.0467, -85.9078 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 012104Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 692Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 14.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.6%Peak (2003)
  • 62Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110121042002: 61 filings (22.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 73 filings (26.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 64 filings (23.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 52 filings (13.79/100 renter HHs)2006: 49 filings (13.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 44 filings (11.67/100 renter HHs)2008: 36 filings (9.55/100 renter HHs)2009: 37 filings (9.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (8.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 43 filings (10.54/100 renter HHs)2012: 47 filings (11.52/100 renter HHs)2013: 38 filings (9.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 55 filings (13.48/100 renter HHs)2015: 62 filings (15.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 692 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 14.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.6% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012104?

Census tract 21111012104 in Louisville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012104?

Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012104?

18.6% of residents in tract 21111012104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 86th, minority 48th, housing 8th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 692 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.18% of renter households, peaking at 26.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012104 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012104 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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