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Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012801 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,985 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

Tract 21111012801 covers Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) in Jefferson County in Kentucky. Home to 2,985 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $593 a month while the average household earns $34,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 9% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$34,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#468 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#26,446 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2128, -85.8028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$593 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 012801Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,069Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 13.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak (2014)
  • 79Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110128012002: 97 filings (21.13/100 renter HHs)2003: 51 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 56 filings (12.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 89 filings (17.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 69 filings (13.69/100 renter HHs)2007: 84 filings (16.67/100 renter HHs)2008: 75 filings (14.88/100 renter HHs)2009: 69 filings (13.69/100 renter HHs)2010: 85 filings (15.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 80 filings (11.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 57 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 80 filings (11.82/100 renter HHs)2014: 98 filings (14.48/100 renter HHs)2015: 79 filings (11.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,069 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 13.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.5% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012801?

Census tract 21111012801 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012801?

Median gross rent is $593/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012801?

24.0% of residents in tract 21111012801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,985.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 97th, minority 89th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,069 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012801 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012801 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111012801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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