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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012801 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,985 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 21111012801 in Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 9% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$34,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#194 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2128, -85.8028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$593 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0128013.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,069Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 13.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak (2014)
  • 79Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111012801
Filings dropped 19% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

At $593 a month, rents run 47% under what the rest of Louisville commands. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Court records carry 1,069 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 14.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012801?

Census tract 21111012801 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012801?

Median gross rent is $593/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012801?

24.0% of residents in tract 21111012801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,985.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 97th, minority 89th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,069 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012801 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012801 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111012801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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