Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111000900 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,893

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111000900 in Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,893 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 20% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units771
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate41.7%
Median income$25,466

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2531, -85.8209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
41.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$829 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0009004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 880Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 14.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.1%Peak (2013)
  • 80Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111000900
Filings climbed 54% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Jefferson County average of 42.9%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $25,466, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $829, 18% below the Louisville average. Court records carry 880 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 18.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000900?

Census tract 21111000900 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000900?

Median gross rent is $829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000900?

41.7% of residents in tract 21111000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,893.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 70th, minority 95th, housing 68th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 880 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.66% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111000900 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111000900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related