Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111005200 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,914
How risky is Louisville for landlords? Census tract 21111005200 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #20,975 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $866 monthly, set against $41,630 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units2,154
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$41,630
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2292, -85.7618 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 92%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,879Total filings over 14 yrs
- 13.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2003)
- 110Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111005200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111005200?
Census tract 21111005200 in Louisville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111005200?
Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111005200?
21.0% of residents in tract 21111005200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,914.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111005200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 32th, minority 58th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111005200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,879 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111005200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.51% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111005200 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111005200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 21111005200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111003501
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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