Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111012605 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,105
Tract 21111012605 sits in Shively eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 3,105 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$43,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shively and the region
Centroid at 38.1993, -85.8132 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shively scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shively
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$844 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shively
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shively
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shively
7.5
How Shively compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shively
Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $844, close to the Shively average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $43,333. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012605?
Census tract 21111012605 in Shively scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012605?
Median gross rent is $844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012605?
25.8% of residents in tract 21111012605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 95th, minority 86th, housing 55th.
Q5
How does tract 21111012605 compare to Shively overall?
Tract 21111012605 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Shively at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shively
Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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