Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111012605 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,105
Census tract 21111012605 sits in Shively eviction risk, Kentucky eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #8,003 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $844 monthly, set against $43,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$43,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shively and the region
Centroid at 38.1993, -85.8132 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shively scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shively
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$844 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shively
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shively
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shively
7.5
How Shively compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shively
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shively eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012605?
Census tract 21111012605 in Shively scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012605?
Median gross rent is $844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012605?
25.8% of residents in tract 21111012605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 95th, minority 86th, housing 55th.
Q5
How does tract 21111012605 compare to Shively overall?
Tract 21111012605 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Shively at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shively
Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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