Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 1,161 evictions over 14 years of observation. At $775 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Shively commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 15.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.