Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111012501 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,273
Census tract 21111012501 sits in Shively eviction risk in Jefferson County, Kentucky eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $775 a month against an average household income of $31,918 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,327
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$31,918
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shively and the region
Centroid at 38.1788, -85.8211 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shively scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shively
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$775 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shively
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shively
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shively
7.5
How Shively compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,161Total filings over 14 yrs
- 12.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2013)
- 99Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shively
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shively eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,161 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 12.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.1% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111012501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012501?
Census tract 21111012501 in Shively scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111012501?
Median gross rent is $775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012501?
19.6% of residents in tract 21111012501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,273.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 49th, minority 61th, housing 82th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,161 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.74% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111012501 compare to Shively overall?
Tract 21111012501 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Shively at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shively
Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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