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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Shively Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012603 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,413 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Shively

Tract 21111012603 sits in Shively eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,413 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 23% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$54,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Shively
Very Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#471 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shively and the region

Centroid at 38.1911, -85.8196 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shively scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shively
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shively
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shively
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shively
7.5

How Shively compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shively risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0126034.0Shivelyparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 738Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 13.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.7%Peak (2013)
  • 57Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111012603
Filings climbed 159% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shively

Cost burden runs 31% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,048 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Shively commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 738 filings here across 14 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 17.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Jefferson County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $54,708.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012603?

Census tract 21111012603 in Shively scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012603?

Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012603?

10.6% of residents in tract 21111012603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,413.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 738 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.03% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012603 compare to Shively overall?

Tract 21111012603 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Shively at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shively eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shively

Top eight tracts in Shively ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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