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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111001200 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,992

Louisville anchors census tract 21111001200, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,145 monthly, set against $35,477 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 29% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate35.8%
Median income$35,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#9 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2358, -85.8246 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.8% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,145 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 001200Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 940Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 15.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.5%Peak (2014)
  • 75Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110012002002: 54 filings (15.15/100 renter HHs)2003: 35 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 50 filings (14.03/100 renter HHs)2005: 63 filings (16.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 71 filings (18.97/100 renter HHs)2007: 70 filings (18.71/100 renter HHs)2008: 67 filings (17.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 56 filings (14.97/100 renter HHs)2010: 73 filings (16.37/100 renter HHs)2011: 48 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 75 filings (14.20/100 renter HHs)2013: 84 filings (15.91/100 renter HHs)2014: 119 filings (22.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 75 filings (14.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 26% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001200?

Census tract 21111001200 in Louisville scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111001200?

Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001200?

35.8% of residents in tract 21111001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 22th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 940 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.62% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111001200 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111001200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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