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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002700 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,755 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

For landlords sizing up Russell in Louisville, census tract 21111002700 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $828 a month against an average household income of $29,930 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 48% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,191
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate45.4%
Median income$29,930

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Russell
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#219 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2387, -85.7769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
45.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$828 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 002700Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,379Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 19.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.2%Peak (2014)
  • 178Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110027002002: 168 filings (20.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 177 filings (21.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 152 filings (18.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 176 filings (19.87/100 renter HHs)2006: 168 filings (18.97/100 renter HHs)2007: 132 filings (14.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 158 filings (17.84/100 renter HHs)2009: 133 filings (15.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 118 filings (14.88/100 renter HHs)2011: 176 filings (19.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 187 filings (20.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 190 filings (20.88/100 renter HHs)2014: 266 filings (29.23/100 renter HHs)2015: 178 filings (19.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,379 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 19.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.2% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002700?

Census tract 21111002700 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002700?

Median gross rent is $828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002700?

45.4% of residents in tract 21111002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,755.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 82th, minority 87th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002700 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002700 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,379 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.45% of renter households, peaking at 29.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111002700 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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