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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002100 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,230 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

21111002100 is a census tract in the Russell area of Louisville, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,230 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 36% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units831
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$29,561

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 13 tracts In Russell
Elevated
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2644, -85.7926 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$826 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0021004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,150Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 15.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.7%Peak (2012)
  • 82Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111002100
Filings climbed 21% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The poverty rate is 44%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $29,561 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $826, 18% below the Louisville average.

Court records carry 1,150 eviction filings across 14 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 18.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 15.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002100?

Census tract 21111002100 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002100?

Median gross rent is $826/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002100?

43.5% of residents in tract 21111002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,230.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 80th, minority 48th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002100 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002100 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111002100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,150 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.25% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111002100 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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