East Baltimore Midway Eviction Risk: High

Annualized rent equals 61% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against a Baltimore baseline of 32.0%, 81% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

32.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 45%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 59.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,441, 8% above the Baltimore average of $1,331.

Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Coppin Heights/Ash-Co-East and Darley Park score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.