Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Gray Haven Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dundalk

Tract 24005420303 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 1,158 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24005420303 covers part of the Gray Haven area of Dundalk, MD, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,158 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units492

Renter share13.6%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate11.3%

Median income$100,896

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundalk and the region

Centroid at 39.2674, -76.4897 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gray Haven scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dundalk

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

11.3% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,598 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dundalk

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dundalk

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dundalk

8.1

How Gray Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gray Haven. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.4%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
18.2%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
33.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gray Haven

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,598, 8% above the Dundalk average. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Baltimore County average of 5.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $100,896.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005420303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005420303?

Census tract 24005420303 in the Gray Haven neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005420303?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005420303?

11.3% of residents in tract 24005420303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,158.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005420303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 30th, minority 24th, housing 3th.

Is tract 24005420303 considered part of Gray Haven?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005420303 fall within Gray Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005420303 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005420303 compare to Dundalk overall?

Tract 24005420303 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Dundalk at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundalk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundalk

Top eight tracts in Dundalk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.