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Neighborhood · Hillcrest Heights, MD

Oxon Run Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,468 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.2–5.2

Oxon Run Hills is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Hillcrest Heights with 3 census tracts and a population of 13,468 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,436/month sits 7% lower than the Hillcrest Heights citywide average ($1,545).

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Oxon Run Hills vs Hillcrest Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.0% +56%
Hillcrest Heights: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,436 -7%
Hillcrest Heights: $1,545
Average HH income
$74,726 -4%
Hillcrest Heights: $77,696
Poverty rate
13.0% +16%
Hillcrest Heights: 11.2%
Renter share
51.8% +12%
Hillcrest Heights: 46.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oxon Run Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.2–5.2

Why Oxon Run Hills scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
13.0% below poverty line · Range 2.1–4.4 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Oxon Run Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oxon Run Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Oxon Run Hills: 4.74.7Oxon Run HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.56.5Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oxon Run Hills?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 4.2 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Oxon Run Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033801808 5.2 3,654 44% $1,442
24033801809 4.9 4,601 54% $1,406
24033801807 4.2 5,213 41% $1,459
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Oxon Run Hills

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16,156Total filings (sum)
  • 187.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 236.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 196.87%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oxon Run Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oxon Run Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oxon Run Hills?

Oxon Run Hills scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oxon Run Hills compare to Hillcrest Heights overall?

Oxon Run Hills scores 1.8 points lower than Hillcrest Heights overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,436 vs $1,545.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oxon Run Hills?

Average gross rent in Oxon Run Hills is $1,436/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oxon Run Hills residents are renters?

52% of Oxon Run Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Hillcrest Heights). The neighborhood has 13,468 residents.
Q5

Is Oxon Run Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Oxon Run Hills sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oxon Run Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oxon Run Hills is census tract 24033801808 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.2, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Oxon Run Hills for landlords?

Oxon Run Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hillcrest Heights as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oxon Run Hills?

Oxon Run Hills has 12,615 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (84.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oxon Run Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hillcrest Heights

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oxon Run Hills.

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