3 census tracts · pop 13,468 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 4.9–6
Oxon Run Hills spans 3 census tracts of Hillcrest Heights, MD and houses 13,468 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 29.5% citywide, putting Oxon Run Hills 16.5% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.2/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.9 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records carry 16,156 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
15.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 236.2% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 26.5% of adults, 8.7 points above the national rate.
At $1,436 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Hillcrest Heights commands. Judgments average 2.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,726.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Oxon Run Hills vs Hillcrest HeightsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Oxon Run Hills
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
16,156Total filings (sum)
187.61%Avg annual filing rate
236.2%Peak year (2016)
196.87%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oxon Run Hills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
23.0%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility shutoff threat
26.3%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
11.0%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Oxon Run Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Oxon Run Hills?
Oxon Run Hills scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Oxon Run Hills compare to Hillcrest Heights overall?
Oxon Run Hills scores 0.9 points higher than Hillcrest Heights overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,436 vs $1,545.
Q3
What is the average rent in Oxon Run Hills?
Average gross rent in Oxon Run Hills is $1,436/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Oxon Run Hills residents are renters?
52% of Oxon Run Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Hillcrest Heights). The neighborhood has 13,468 residents.
Q5
Is Oxon Run Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Oxon Run Hills sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Oxon Run Hills have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Oxon Run Hills is census tract 24033801808 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 6, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Oxon Run Hills for landlords?
Oxon Run Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hillcrest Heights as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Oxon Run Hills?
Oxon Run Hills has 12,615 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (84.7%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
