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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

City Hall Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lowell

Tract 25017310300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,608 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

25017310300 is a census tract in the City Hall Historic District area of Lowell, MA. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,608. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 23% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,473
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$68,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In City Hall Historic District
High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6600, -71.3096 · click any tract to drill in

Why City Hall Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,636 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5

How City Hall Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
City Hall Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 3103006.6Lowellparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 372Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2014)
  • 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017310300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within City Hall Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in City Hall Historic District

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. SNAP participation runs 26.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 372 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,636, close to the Lowell average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017310300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017310300?

Census tract 25017310300 in the City Hall Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017310300?

Median gross rent is $1,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017310300?

10.8% of residents in tract 25017310300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,608.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017310300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 84th, minority 67th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 25017310300 considered part of City Hall Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017310300 fall within City Hall Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017310300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 372 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017310300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017310300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017310300 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017310300 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lowell at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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