Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
City Hall Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lowell
Tract 25017310300 ·
Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,608 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 25017310300 in City Hall Historic District in Lowell ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,608 residents. On the national scale it ranks #39,297 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,636 a month while the average household earns $68,071 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 23%Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,473
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$68,071
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In City Hall Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
44th percentile
#15 of 26 tracts In Lowell
Moderate
Within county
89th percentile
#40 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
High
Within state
76th percentile
#395 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lowell and the region
Centroid at 42.6600, -71.3096 · click any tract to drill in
Why City Hall Historic District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,636 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lowell
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lowell
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lowell
6.5
How City Hall Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
79%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
372Total filings over 5 yrs
6.21%Avg annual filing rate
7.2%Peak (2014)
69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within City Hall Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.2%Housing insecurity
12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
23.4%Food insecurity
26.9%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
33.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in City Hall Historic District
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017310300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017310300?
Census tract 25017310300 in the City Hall Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017310300?
Median gross rent is $1,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017310300?
10.8% of residents in tract 25017310300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,608.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017310300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 84th, minority 67th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 25017310300 considered part of City Hall Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017310300 fall within City Hall Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017310300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 372 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017310300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017310300 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017310300 compare to Lowell overall?
Tract 25017310300 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lowell at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lowell
Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.