Neighborhood · Ranked #11,369 of 84,120 nationally

City Hall Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lowell

Tract 25017388300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,085 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25017388300 covers the City Hall Historic District area of Lowell, home to 6,085 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $586 monthly, set against $23,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 90% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 44% Owners 10%

Tract context

Occupied units1,951

Renter share89.9%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate31.6%

Median income$23,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lowell and the region

Centroid at 42.6499, -71.3185 · click any tract to drill in

Why City Hall Historic District scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lowell

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

31.6% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$586 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lowell

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lowell

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lowell

6.5

How City Hall Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

574Total filings over 5 yrs
6.75%Avg annual filing rate
7.5%Peak (2014)
109Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within City Hall Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
33.4%Food insecurity
39.8%SNAP enrollment
21.9%Transit barriers
10.4%No health insurance
26.0%Frequent mental distress
40.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in City Hall Historic District

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017388300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017388300?

Census tract 25017388300 in the City Hall Historic District neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017388300?

Median gross rent is $586/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017388300?

31.6% of residents in tract 25017388300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,085.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017388300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 69th, minority 71th, housing 96th.

Is tract 25017388300 considered part of City Hall Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017388300 fall within City Hall Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017388300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 574 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017388300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017388300 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017388300 compare to Lowell overall?

Tract 25017388300 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lowell at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lowell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lowell

Top eight tracts in Lowell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.