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Neighborhood · Lowell, MA

City Hall Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 22,586 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 4.8–7.1

City Hall Historic District is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lowell with 5 census tracts and a population of 22,586 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,300/month sits 20% lower than the Lowell citywide average ($1,625).

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
City Hall Historic District vs Lowell How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.0% +83%
Lowell: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,300 -20%
Lowell: $1,625
Average HH income
$52,977 -30%
Lowell: $76,205
Poverty rate
23.7% +48%
Lowell: 16.0%
Renter share
69.1% +22%
Lowell: 56.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across City Hall Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.8–7.1

Why City Hall Historic District scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
23.7% below poverty line · Range 2.7–8.8 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

City Hall Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

City Hall Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.City Hall Historic: 5.95.9City Hall HistoricNeighborhoodParent city: 6.16.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in City Hall Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 4.8 to 7.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in City Hall Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017388300 7.1 6,085 51% $586
25017310400 6.3 3,417 76% $1,494
25017310102 6.3 2,721 58% $1,393
25017310500 5.2 3,755 52% $1,619
25017310300 4.8 6,608 55% $1,636
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in City Hall Historic District

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,363Total filings (sum)
  • 6.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 5.62%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in City Hall Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About City Hall Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for City Hall Historic District?

City Hall Historic District scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does City Hall Historic District compare to Lowell overall?

City Hall Historic District scores 0.2 points lower than Lowell overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,300 vs $1,625.
Q3

What is the average rent in City Hall Historic District?

Average gross rent in City Hall Historic District is $1,300/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of City Hall Historic District residents are renters?

69% of City Hall Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Lowell). The neighborhood has 22,586 residents.
Q5

Is City Hall Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

City Hall Historic District sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in City Hall Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in City Hall Historic District is census tract 25017388300 (score 7.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 7.1, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is City Hall Historic District for landlords?

City Hall Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lowell as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of City Hall Historic District?

City Hall Historic District has 22,938 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.8%), Hispanic / Latino (28.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near City Hall Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lowell

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to City Hall Historic District.

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