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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Night Caps Corner Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton

Tract 25017374600 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,360 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

25017374600 is a census tract in the Night Caps Corner area of Newton, MA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,360. Cost burden runs 27% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 26% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,126
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$167,381

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Night Caps Corner
Very Low
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 19 tracts In Newton
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#290 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,134 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newton and the region

Centroid at 42.3559, -71.2298 · click any tract to drill in

Why Night Caps Corner scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,106 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9

How Night Caps Corner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Night Caps Corner risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 3746005.9Newtonparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2013)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017374600
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Night Caps Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Night Caps Corner

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.

Court records carry 19 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $2,106 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Newton commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 1.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Newton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $167,381, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017374600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017374600?

Census tract 25017374600 in the Night Caps Corner neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017374600?

Median gross rent is $2,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017374600?

1.8% of residents in tract 25017374600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,360.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017374600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 43th, minority 40th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 25017374600 considered part of Night Caps Corner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017374600 fall within Night Caps Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017374600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017374600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017374600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25017374600 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25017374600 compare to Newton overall?

Tract 25017374600 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25017374600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newton

Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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