Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Night Caps Corner Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton
Tract 25017374500 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,600 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 25017374500 in the Night Caps Corner area of Newton, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,600. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,767
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$135,669
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton and the region
Centroid at 42.3541, -71.2201 · click any tract to drill in
Why Night Caps Corner scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,172 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9
How Night Caps Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 26%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Night Caps Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Night Caps Corner
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.9/10. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 12 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.2% of renter households. At $2,172 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Newton commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Newton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017374500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017374500?
Census tract 25017374500 in the Night Caps Corner neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017374500?
Median gross rent is $2,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017374500?
7.8% of residents in tract 25017374500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,600.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017374500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 40th, minority 50th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 25017374500 considered part of Night Caps Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017374500 fall within Night Caps Corner (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017374500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017374500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.81% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017374500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017374500 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017374500 compare to Newton overall?
Tract 25017374500 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017374500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newton
Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Newton Highlands
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Bemis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
The Island
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cleveland Circle
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Oak Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Nonantum
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Thompsonville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Lasell Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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