South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
5 census tracts · pop 18,253 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10
· range 6.7–8
South Common Historic District spans 5 census tracts of Lowell, MA, population 18,253. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Lowell rate of 31.1%.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 6.7 to 8. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
Filings are well documented here: 897 across 5 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Lowell.
Judgments average 2.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Cambodia Town and Merrimack-Middle Street Historic District score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,553, close to the Lowell average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $78,751. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
South Common Historic District vs LowellHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Common Historic District
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
897Total filings (sum)
5.21%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak year (2016)
5.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Common Historic District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
16.9%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
22.0%SNAP enrollment
8.3%No health insurance
31.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Common Historic District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Common Historic District?
South Common Historic District scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Common Historic District compare to Lowell overall?
South Common Historic District scores 1.0 points higher than Lowell overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,553 vs $1,625.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Common Historic District?
Average gross rent in South Common Historic District is $1,553/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Common Historic District residents are renters?
52% of South Common Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Lowell). The neighborhood has 18,253 residents.
Q5
Is South Common Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?
South Common Historic District sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Common Historic District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Common Historic District is census tract 25017312000 (score 8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is South Common Historic District for landlords?
South Common Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lowell as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Common Historic District?
South Common Historic District has 18,305 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.3%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near South Common Historic District
