Bellingham Hill Eviction Risk: High

89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Food insecurity affects 37.6% of adults, 19.8 points above the national rate. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Chelsea rate of 34.7%.

The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.9/10.

At $1,648 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Chelsea commands. 19.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in Chelsea. For a like-for-like read, Park Square and Bellingham Square Historic District score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 9.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.