Bellingham Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High

Cost burden runs 62% against 34.7% citywide, putting Bellingham Square Historic District 27.0% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 29.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.9/10.

16.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #3 of 7 neighborhoods in Chelsea. For a like-for-like read, Chelsea Square and Bellingham Hill score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,940, close to the Chelsea average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $80,573. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.