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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Fay Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Worcester

Tract 25027732203 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Fay Street Historic District area of Worcester is where census tract 25027732203 sits, home to 3,025 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #9,501 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,671 a month against an average household income of $74,157 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$74,157

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Fay Street Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Moderate
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#37 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2626, -71.7826 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fay Street Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,671 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Fay Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fay Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 732203Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2015)
  • 38Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fay Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fay Street Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.2% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732203?

Census tract 25027732203 in the Fay Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732203?

Median gross rent is $1,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732203?

18.5% of residents in tract 25027732203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 85th, minority 63th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732203 considered part of Fay Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732203 fall within Fay Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732203 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732203 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732203 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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