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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford

Tract 25027731900 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,027 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 25027731900, in the Lincoln Square area of Milford eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.9/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 6,027. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,494 a month while the average household earns $50,174 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 39% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,410
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate23.1%
Median income$50,174

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Lincoln Square
High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 46 tracts In Milford
Elevated
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milford and the region

Centroid at 42.2775, -71.7916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.1% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
7.0

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 731900Milford: 6.06.0Milfordparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2015)
  • 130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 8.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.8% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731900?

Census tract 25027731900 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731900?

Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731900?

23.1% of residents in tract 25027731900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,027.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731900 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731900 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.75% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731900 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731900 compare to Milford overall?

Tract 25027731900 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Milford at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milford

Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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