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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Webster Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester

Tract 25027731002 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Eviction risk in the Webster Square neighborhood of Worcester centers on tract 25027731002, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,642 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $873 a month while the average household earns $58,768 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 18% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,778
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$58,768

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Webster Square
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#169 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2493, -71.8463 · click any tract to drill in

Why Webster Square scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$873 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Webster Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Webster Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 731002Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2015)
  • 69Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Webster Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Webster Square

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731002?

Census tract 25027731002 in the Webster Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731002?

Median gross rent is $873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731002?

23.6% of residents in tract 25027731002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 97th, minority 67th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731002 considered part of Webster Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731002 fall within Webster Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.51% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731002 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731002 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731002 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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