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Neighborhood · Worcester, MA

Webster Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 14,212 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 6.1–8

Webster Square takes in 4 census tracts of Worcester, MA, population 14,212. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 32.0% citywide, putting Webster Square 28.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 6.1 to 8. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Filings are well documented here: 139 across 4 observed tracts. At $1,257 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Worcester commands. SNAP participation is 25.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 8.0% of renter households. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Worcester, it ranks #12 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Morningdale and Providence Street Historic District. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Webster Square vs Worcester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.7% +90%
Worcester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,257 -15%
Worcester: $1,487
Average HH income
$69,061 +2%
Worcester: $67,544
Poverty rate
18.1% -8%
Worcester: 19.8%
Renter share
50.2% -12%
Worcester: 57.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Webster Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.1–8

Why Webster Square scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
18.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–7.1 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Webster Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Webster Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Webster Square: 7.47.4Webster SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Webster Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 6.1 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Webster Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25027731002 8 6,642 65% $873
25027731204 8 2,490 51% $1,398
25027733102 6.6 2,568 55% $1,658
25027733101 6.1 2,512 63% $1,725
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Webster Square

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 139Total filings (sum)
  • 5.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 5.83%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Webster Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Webster Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Webster Square?

Webster Square scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Webster Square compare to Worcester overall?

Webster Square scores 0.8 points higher than Worcester overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,257 vs $1,487.
Q3

What is the average rent in Webster Square?

Average gross rent in Webster Square is $1,257/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Webster Square residents are renters?

50% of Webster Square households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Worcester). The neighborhood has 14,212 residents.
Q5

Is Webster Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Webster Square sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Webster Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Webster Square is census tract 25027731002 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 8, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Webster Square for landlords?

Webster Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Worcester as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Webster Square?

Webster Square has 14,142 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.1%), Hispanic / Latino (26.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Webster Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Worcester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Webster Square.

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