2 census tracts · pop 10,741 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10
· range 7.3–8
Morningdale is a 2-tract neighborhood of Worcester, MA and houses 10,741 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.5/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 32.0% citywide, putting Morningdale 11.3% over its own city.
The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Food insecurity affects 34.5% of adults, 16.7 points above the national rate.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10.
Court records carry 150 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 12.5% of renter households.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 7/10. That places it #11 of 17 neighborhoods in Worcester.
Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Webster Square and Providence Street Historic District.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
With little internal variation, 7.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Morningdale vs WorcesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Morningdale
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
150Total filings (sum)
5.88%Avg annual filing rate
12.5%Peak year (2015)
5.88%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Morningdale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.1%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility shutoff threat
29.0%Food insecurity
35.2%SNAP enrollment
10.7%No health insurance
36.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Morningdale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Morningdale?
Morningdale scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Morningdale compare to Worcester overall?
Morningdale scores 0.9 points higher than Worcester overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,553 vs $1,487.
Q3
What is the average rent in Morningdale?
Average gross rent in Morningdale is $1,553/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Morningdale residents are renters?
48% of Morningdale households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Worcester). The neighborhood has 10,741 residents.
Q5
Is Morningdale a high social-vulnerability area?
Morningdale sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Morningdale have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Morningdale is census tract 25027732001 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 8, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Morningdale for landlords?
Morningdale carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Worcester as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Morningdale?
Morningdale has 10,766 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.2%), Hispanic / Latino (29.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
