Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Gardner Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25027707300 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,221
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25027707300 (Gardner, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,018 a month while the average household earns $42,377 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,967
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$42,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
National
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gardner and the region
Centroid at 42.5710, -72.0101 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gardner scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,018 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4
How Gardner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 70Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2015)
- 70Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.3%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gardner
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gardner, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 70 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.3% of renter households in 2015.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027707300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707300?
Census tract 25027707300 in Gardner scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027707300?
Median gross rent is $1,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707300?
20.1% of residents in tract 25027707300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,221.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 78th, minority 35th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 70 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027707300 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027707300 compare to Gardner overall?
Tract 25027707300 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Gardner at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gardner
Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25027707300
Parent city ↑
Gardner
5.8 / 10
Parent county ↑
Worcester County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Redwood Hills
5.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Providence Street Historic District
5.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 25027707100
5.9 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
Explore all 84k tracts