Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Gardner Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25027707100 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,082

Census tract 25027707100 covers part of Gardner, MA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,082. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 9% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,701
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$62,765

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Gardner
Moderate
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#423 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardner and the region

Centroid at 42.5546, -71.9830 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardner scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4

How Gardner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 707100Gardner: 6.16.1Gardnerparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2015)
  • 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardner

67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Worcester County average of 44.4%. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation runs 24.8% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 45 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,101, close to the Gardner average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027707100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707100?

Census tract 25027707100 in Gardner scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027707100?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707100?

26.7% of residents in tract 25027707100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 93th, minority 23th, housing 67th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.08% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027707100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027707100 compare to Gardner overall?

Tract 25027707100 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Gardner at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardner

Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related