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Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Gardner Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027707100 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,082

Census tract 25027707100 sits in Gardner, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,101 a month against an average household income of $62,765 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 9% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,701
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$62,765

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Gardner
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#183 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
National
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#13,119 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardner and the region

Centroid at 42.5546, -71.9830 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardner scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4

How Gardner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 707100Gardner: 5.85.8Gardnerparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2015)
  • 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardner

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gardner, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027707100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707100?

Census tract 25027707100 in Gardner scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027707100?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707100?

26.7% of residents in tract 25027707100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,082.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 93th, minority 23th, housing 67th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.08% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027707100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027707100 compare to Gardner overall?

Tract 25027707100 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Gardner at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardner

Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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