Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Massachusetts Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester
Tract 25027730500 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,901 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
25027730500 is a census tract in the Massachusetts Avenue Historic District area of Worcester, MA. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$71,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Worcester and the region
Centroid at 42.2902, -71.8050 · click any tract to drill in
Why Massachusetts Avenue Historic District scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
How Massachusetts Avenue Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2015)
- 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Massachusetts Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 20.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Massachusetts Avenue Historic District
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.7 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.
Against Worcester County at 44.4%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is local political climate at 7/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
The filing record is not thin: 41 evictions over 1 years of observation. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Average gross rent is $1,659, 12% above the Worcester average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027730500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730500?
Census tract 25027730500 in the Massachusetts Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027730500?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730500?
12.8% of residents in tract 25027730500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,901.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 84th, minority 71th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 25027730500 considered part of Massachusetts Avenue Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027730500 fall within Massachusetts Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027730500 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027730500 compare to Worcester overall?
Tract 25027730500 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Worcester
Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Lincoln Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Main South
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Lincoln Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Morningdale
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Webster Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25027732002
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Beaver Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Fay Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
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