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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Massachusetts Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Worcester

Tract 25027730500 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,901 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Massachusetts Avenue Historic District neighborhood of Worcester, census tract 25027730500 scores 6.6/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,659 a month while the average household earns $71,667 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 34% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$71,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Massachusetts Avenue Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#369 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2902, -71.8050 · click any tract to drill in

Why Massachusetts Avenue Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Massachusetts Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Massachusetts Avenue Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 730500Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Massachusetts Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Massachusetts Avenue Historic District

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730500?

Census tract 25027730500 in the Massachusetts Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730500?

Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730500?

12.8% of residents in tract 25027730500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,901.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 84th, minority 71th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 25027730500 considered part of Massachusetts Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027730500 fall within Massachusetts Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027730500 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027730500 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730500 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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