Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford
Tract 25027744201 ·
Worcester County, MA · pop 3,042 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 25027744201 in the Lincoln Square area of Milford, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,042 residents. Against Worcester County at 44.4%, 83% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 5%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$86,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17th percentile
#6 of 7 tracts In Lincoln Square
Very Low
Within parent city
50th percentile
#4 of 7 tracts In Milford
Moderate
Within county
54th percentile
#89 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Moderate
Within state
50th percentile
#811 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.1257, -71.5037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,759 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.9
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
79%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
15.7%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
22.0%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Worcester County average of 5.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,759, close to the Milford average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $86,840. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027744201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027744201?
Census tract 25027744201 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027744201?
Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027744201?
5.5% of residents in tract 25027744201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,042.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027744201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 60th, minority 60th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 25027744201 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027744201 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027744201 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027744201 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027744201 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.