Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Milford
Tract 25027744201 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,042 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Lincoln Square area of Milford is where census tract 25027744201 sits, home to 3,042 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 83% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,759 a month while the average household earns $86,840 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,013
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$86,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.1257, -71.5037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,759 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.9
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027744201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027744201?
Census tract 25027744201 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027744201?
Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027744201?
5.5% of residents in tract 25027744201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,042.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027744201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 60th, minority 60th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 25027744201 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027744201 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027744201 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027744201 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027744201 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Milford at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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