Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milford

Tract 25027744400 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,274 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

In Lincoln Square in Milford, census tract 25027744400 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #8,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,496 monthly, set against $73,063 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,538
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$73,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Lincoln Square
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Milford
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milford and the region

Centroid at 42.1430, -71.5287 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,496 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.9

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 744400Milford: 6.06.0Milfordparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2015)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027744400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027744400?

Census tract 25027744400 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027744400?

Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027744400?

19.7% of residents in tract 25027744400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,274.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027744400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 25027744400 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027744400 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027744400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027744400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.53% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027744400 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027744400 compare to Milford overall?

Tract 25027744400 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Milford at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milford

Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related