Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford
Tract 25027744400 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,274 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 25027744400 covers part of the Lincoln Square area of Milford, MA, and scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,274. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,538
Renter share45.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$73,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.1430, -71.5287 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,496 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.9
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.9%Food insecurity
- 28.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
It sits 1.8 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. SNAP participation runs 28.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,496, 21% below the Milford average.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.4% across Worcester County. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 1 tracked years. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027744400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027744400?
Census tract 25027744400 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027744400?
Median gross rent is $1,496/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027744400?
19.7% of residents in tract 25027744400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,274.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027744400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 90th, minority 51th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 25027744400 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027744400 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027744400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027744400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.53% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027744400 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027744400 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027744400 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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