Main South Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester
Tract 25027731300 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,118 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 25027731300 in the Main South neighborhood of Worcester ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,118 residents. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,338 monthly, set against $41,723 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 91% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Worcester and the region
Centroid at 42.2514, -71.8152 · click any tract to drill in
Why Main South scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Main South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 161Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2015)
- 161Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Main South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.4%Housing insecurity
- 21.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.5%Food insecurity
- 45.7%SNAP enrollment
- 20.8%Transit barriers
- 16.8%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Main South
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 30.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 25027731300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731300?
What is the average rent in tract 25027731300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731300?
Is tract 25027731300 considered part of Main South?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731300?
What share of households in tract 25027731300 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25027731300 compare to Worcester overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Worcester
Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.