Main South Eviction Risk: High , Worcester
Tract 25027733000 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,888 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 25027733000 sits in the Main South area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,888. SNAP participation runs 37.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Worcester and the region
Centroid at 42.2468, -71.8133 · click any tract to drill in
Why Main South scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Main South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2015)
- 48Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Main South. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.2%Food insecurity
- 37.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Main South
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $52,068, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 33.2% against 17.8% nationally. Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.
The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.
Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 1 observed years. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 25027733000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027733000?
What is the average rent in tract 25027733000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027733000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027733000?
Is tract 25027733000 considered part of Main South?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027733000?
What share of households in tract 25027733000 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25027733000 compare to Worcester overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Worcester
Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.