Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Old Saginaw City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 26145001300 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 26145001300, in the Old Saginaw City neighborhood of Saginaw eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,950. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 83% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,005 monthly, set against $31,076 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 8% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units682

Renter share47.8%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate53.4%

Median income$31,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4105, -83.9739 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Saginaw City scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saginaw

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

53.4% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,005 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saginaw

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saginaw

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saginaw

9.1

How Old Saginaw City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
56%Grade C
16%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Saginaw City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.3%Housing insecurity
26.9%Utility-shutoff threat
45.6%Food insecurity
51.8%SNAP enrollment
22.4%Transit barriers
16.0%No health insurance
24.8%Frequent mental distress
48.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Saginaw City

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 16% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145001300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145001300?

Census tract 26145001300 in the Old Saginaw City neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26145001300?

Median gross rent is $1,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145001300?

53.4% of residents in tract 26145001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145001300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 72th, housing 57th.

Is tract 26145001300 considered part of Old Saginaw City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145001300 fall within Old Saginaw City (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26145001300 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26145001300 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145001300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26145001300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.