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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Old Saginaw City Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 26145001300 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 26145001300 sits in the Old Saginaw City area of Saginaw eviction risk, MI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 1,950 residents. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 8% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units682
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate53.4%
Median income$31,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Old Saginaw City
Very High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 20 tracts In Saginaw
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 61 tracts In Saginaw County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4105, -83.9739 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Saginaw City scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Saginaw
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
53.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,005 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saginaw
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saginaw
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saginaw
9.1

How Old Saginaw City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Saginaw City risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0013004.6Saginawparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Saginaw City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Saginaw City

Cost burden runs 83% here against 48.1% across Saginaw County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $31,076, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 48.4% against 31.5% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 30.3% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 1.7 points above the Saginaw County average of 4.3. At $1,005 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Saginaw commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145001300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145001300?

Census tract 26145001300 in the Old Saginaw City neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26145001300?

Median gross rent is $1,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145001300?

53.4% of residents in tract 26145001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145001300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 91th, minority 72th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 26145001300 considered part of Old Saginaw City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145001300 fall within Old Saginaw City (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26145001300 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26145001300 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145001300 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26145001300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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