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Neighborhood · Dearborn, MI

Aviation Sub Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 23,821 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 3.2–5.8

Aviation Sub takes in 5 census tracts of Dearborn, MI and houses 23,821 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.6/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Dearborn rate of 38.3%.

The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 5.8, a 2.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is housing-court posture at 7.7/10.

Running hot is economic stress at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 29.8% of adults, 12.0 points above the national rate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 21.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,222, 8% below the Dearborn average of $1,327. That places it #3 of 10 neighborhoods in Dearborn.

For a like-for-like read, East Dearborn Downtown and Oakwood Heights score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Aviation Sub vs Dearborn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.4% +63%
Dearborn: 38.3%
Average gross rent
$1,222 -8%
Dearborn: $1,327
Average HH income
$44,024 -32%
Dearborn: $65,192
Poverty rate
34.2% +41%
Dearborn: 24.3%
Renter share
39.6% +25%
Dearborn: 31.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aviation Sub and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.2–5.8

Why Aviation Sub scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.5 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 2.0–8.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–6.0 across tracts
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 6.5–6.8 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–8.5 across tracts
7.7
Economic stress
34.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–10.0 across tracts
7.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–4.7 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Aviation Sub vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Aviation Sub score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.6Aviation SubNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Aviation Sub?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.6 points from 3.2 to 5.8. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Aviation Sub

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26163573702 5.8 7,871 63% $1,341
26163573600 5.8 6,744 66% $1,081
26163535600 5.7 4,663 72% $1,171
26163535000 5.6 2,770 54% $1,324
26163573701 3.2 1,773 31% $1,208
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Aviation Sub

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Aviation Sub

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Aviation Sub?

Aviation Sub scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Aviation Sub compare to Dearborn overall?

Aviation Sub scores 1.2 points higher than Dearborn overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,222 vs $1,327.
Q3

What is the average rent in Aviation Sub?

Average gross rent in Aviation Sub is $1,222/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Aviation Sub residents are renters?

40% of Aviation Sub households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Dearborn). The neighborhood has 23,821 residents.
Q5

Is Aviation Sub a high social-vulnerability area?

Aviation Sub sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Aviation Sub have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Aviation Sub is census tract 26163573702 (score 5.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.8, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Aviation Sub for landlords?

Aviation Sub carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dearborn as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Aviation Sub?

Aviation Sub has 23,664 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Aviation Sub

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dearborn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Aviation Sub.

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