Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Aviation Sub Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dearborn

Tract 26163573702 · Wayne County, MI · pop 7,871 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 7.5/10 for census tract 26163573702 reflects conditions in Aviation Sub in Dearborn, Michigan. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,341 a month while the average household earns $45,632 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 14% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,890

Renter share37.4%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate33.5%

Median income$45,632

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dearborn and the region

Centroid at 42.3387, -83.1717 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aviation Sub scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dearborn

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

33.5% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$1,341 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dearborn

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dearborn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dearborn

8.5

How Aviation Sub compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
11%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
45%Grade B
54%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aviation Sub. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.5%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
27.4%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
24.7%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aviation Sub

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163573702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163573702?

Census tract 26163573702 in the Aviation Sub neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163573702?

Median gross rent is $1,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163573702?

33.5% of residents in tract 26163573702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,871.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163573702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 11th, housing 76th.

Is tract 26163573702 considered part of Aviation Sub?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163573702 fall within Aviation Sub (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163573702 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163573702 compare to Dearborn overall?

Tract 26163573702 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dearborn at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163573702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dearborn

Top eight tracts in Dearborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.