Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060739 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,109

27037060739 is a census tract in Burnsville, MN. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,109 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,241
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$106,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#589 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7319, -93.3203 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,570 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0607394.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 264Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 21.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.3%Peak (2011)
  • 45Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060739
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 264 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when 22.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 21.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $106,556, annual rent is just 18%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060739

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060739?

Census tract 27037060739 in Burnsville scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060739?

Median gross rent is $1,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060739?

5.3% of residents in tract 27037060739 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,109.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060739?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 40th, minority 50th, housing 83th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060739?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 264 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060739 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.82% of renter households, peaking at 22.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060739 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060739 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060739 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related