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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Longfellow Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053108800 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,502 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

27053108800 is a census tract in the Longfellow area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,502 residents. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 36% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$72,743

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Longfellow
Very Low
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9423, -93.2285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Longfellow scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,155 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Longfellow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Longfellow risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.97.9This tracttract 108800Minneapolis: 6.66.6Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 291Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2011)
  • 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270531088002009: 59 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)2010: 64 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 78 filings (8.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 55 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2013: 35 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 201Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (1.42× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.84× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2022-04-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (2.52× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.76× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (3.77× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.46× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (3.36× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (1.53× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.76× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (1.42× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.97× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (2.10× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (2.36× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (1.21× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.84× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (0.97× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.18× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.26× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Longfellow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Longfellow

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. At $1,155 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.

The filing record is not thin: 291 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 8.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053108800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053108800?

Census tract 27053108800 in the Longfellow neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053108800?

Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053108800?

16.3% of residents in tract 27053108800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053108800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 52th, minority 67th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 27053108800 considered part of Longfellow?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053108800 fall within Longfellow (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053108800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 291 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053108800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053108800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053108800 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053108800 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053108800 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053108800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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