Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Phelps Grove/University Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077000300 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,404 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
In the Phelps Grove/University Heights area of Springfield, census tract 29077000300 scores 4.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #64,940 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,081 a month against an average household income of $63,397 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,503
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$63,397
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.1895, -93.2856 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phelps Grove/University Heights scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,081 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Phelps Grove/University Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 14%Grade A
- 45%Grade B
- 22%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 9 yrs
- 2.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2009)
- 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Phelps Grove/University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phelps Grove/University Heights
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 166 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.7% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000300?
Census tract 29077000300 in the Phelps Grove/University Heights neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077000300?
Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000300?
12.2% of residents in tract 29077000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,404.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 4th, minority 32th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 29077000300 considered part of Phelps Grove/University Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077000300 fall within Phelps Grove/University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077000300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077000300 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077000300 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Phelps Grove/University Heights
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Tom Watkins
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Robberson
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Rountree/Walnut
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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